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Record
85-70-9
Units
+11.68u
ROI
+7.5%
Pending
1
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Apr 5

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Nimari Burnett
Pending
Under8.5Points
-119 Prop Builder ยท 1u
+8.9% edgeMichigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Burnett's role has been shrinking in conference play while Arizona's pace continues to trend down in meaningful games. โšก The Play The market hasn't adjusted to his reduced minutes against quality opponents like Michigan's disciplined defense.
Sat, Apr 4 at 8:49 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 7:56 AM ET

Mar 28

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Silas Demary Jr.conn
Win
Under5.5Assists
+118 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.7% edgeMichigan St Spartans @ UConn Huskies
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Demary's assist numbers have been trending down in recent games while facing stiffer defensive pressure from elite competition. โšก The Play Michigan State's secondary ball-handler sees a limited floor general role against UConn's suffocating perimeter defense.
Actual: 3Line: 5.5
Fri, Mar 27 at 9:45 PM ET
Posted Mar 25 7:44 AM ET

Mar 27

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Ian Jackson
Win
Under8.5Points
-132 FanDuel ยท 1u
+5.1% edgeSt. John's Red Storm @ Duke Blue Devils
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Jackson's been relegated to a more limited role lately while Duke's defensive depth at home creates tough scoring conditions for visiting guards. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees this freshman struggling to find consistent offensive rhythm against a suffocating Blue Devils defense.
Actual: 5Line: 8.5
Fri, Mar 27 at 7:10 PM ET
Posted Mar 26 7:52 AM ET
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Labaron PhilonALA
Lose
Under28.5Pts+Rebs
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+6.7% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Philon's recent usage has been inconsistent and this number appears inflated based on his limited offensive role in tougher conference matchups. โšก The Play The model projects significant value on the under as Philon's combined production typically falls short in higher-intensity games.
Actual: 42Line: 28.5
Fri, Mar 27 at 7:35 PM ET
Posted Mar 25 10:57 AM ET

Mar 26

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Pryce SandfortNEB
Lose
Under22.5Pts+Rebs
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+6.9% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Sandfort's role has been quietly shrinking in recent games while the market hasn't adjusted to his reduced floor time. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees this line as generous for a player trending toward more limited production.
Actual: 30Line: 22.5
Thu, Mar 26 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted Mar 26 11:01 AM ET

Mar 22

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Otega OwehUK
Lose
Under5.5Rebounds
-115 Underdog ยท 1u
+14.5% edgeUK @ ISU
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Oweh's rebounding numbers have been trending down in road spots, and Iowa State's interior presence limits second-chance opportunities for opposing guards. โšก The Play The Kentucky guard's limited rebounding role gets even more restricted against a Cyclones frontcourt that controls the glass at home.
Actual: 8Line: 5.5
Sun, Mar 22 at 2:45 PM ET
Posted Mar 22 10:25 AM ET
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Bennett Stirtz
Win
Under19.5Points
-123 Prop Builder ยท 1u
+7.4% edgeIowa Hawkeyes @ Florida Gators
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Bennett Stirtz has been trending toward a more limited offensive role in recent games while Iowa's pace slows considerably in road conference environments. โšก The Play Projection models are pointing to Stirtz falling short of this inflated number against a Gators defense that's been clamping down on opposing role players.
Actual: 13Line: 19.5
Sun, Mar 22 at 7:10 PM ET
Posted Mar 22 7:26 AM ET
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Braden Smith
Win
Under9.5Assists
-106 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.8% edgeMiami Hurricanes @ Purdue Boilermakers
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Smith's assist numbers have been trending down against high-pressure defenses, and Miami brings exactly that kind of suffocating backcourt pressure. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately, and it's seeing Smith settling into more of a scoring role with his usage shifting away from pure facilitation in this elite matchup.
Actual: 8Line: 9.5
Sun, Mar 22 at 12:15 PM ET
Posted Mar 21 10:24 AM ET

Mar 21

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Solo BallCONN
Win
Under12.5Points
+100 FanDuel ยท 1u
+5.5% edgeFurman Paladins @ UConn Huskies
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Ball's minutes have been trending down recently while UConn's pace creates fewer possessions than the market expects. โšก The Play This number feels inflated given his limited role in what projects as a grind-it-out defensive battle.
Actual: 9Line: 12.5
Fri, Mar 20 at 10:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 20 3:41 PM ET

Mar 20

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Milan MomcilovicISU
Win
Under3.53-PT Made
-115 Underdog ยท 1u
+11.0% edgeTNST @ ISU
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are still pricing Momcilovic like he's getting his usual volume, but Tennessee State's pack-line defense has been suffocating perimeter shooters all season. โšก The Play The model shows clear value on the under with Momcilovic's recent shot selection trending more conservative against disciplined defensive schemes.
Actual: 3Line: 3.5
Fri, Mar 20 at 2:50 PM ET
Posted Mar 20 10:43 AM ET
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Jordan Burks
Lose
Under13.5Points
-114 FanDuel ยท 1u
+5.2% edgeUCF Knights @ UCLA Bruins
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Burks has been trending toward a more limited offensive role in recent games, while this number feels inflated based on his recent usage patterns. โšก The Play The model's been cooking lately and sees clear value fading Burks in what should be a pace-down spot against UCLA's length.
Actual: 22Line: 13.5
Fri, Mar 20 at 7:25 PM ET
Posted Mar 19 3:50 PM ET
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Allen Graves
Lose
Under6.5Rebounds
-108 FanDuel ยท 1u
+19.8% edgeSanta Clara Broncos @ Kentucky Wildcats
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Graves' rebounding numbers have been trending down against elite competition, and Kentucky's frontcourt depth should limit his opportunities on the glass. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees clear value on the under with Graves likely playing a more perimeter role in this tough road matchup.
Actual: 7Line: 6.5
Fri, Mar 20 at 12:15 PM ET
Posted Mar 17 10:54 AM ET

Mar 14

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Tyler BilodeauUCLA
Push
Under18.5Points
-128 FanDuel ยท 1u
+12.8% edgeUCLA Bruins @ Michigan St Spartans
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Bilodeau's scoring output has been inconsistent in his limited role, and this number feels inflated for a player still finding his rhythm in UCLA's rotation. โšก The Play Michigan State's defensive intensity at home should limit Bilodeau's opportunities to reach this elevated scoring threshold.
Fri, Mar 13 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 13 3:35 PM ET

Mar 13

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€Dion BrownSLU
Win
Under13.5Points
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+10.2% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Brown's scoring output has been trending down in conference play while the model sees his limited offensive role continuing against this defensive scheme. โšก The Play The projected total sits well below the posted number, creating solid value on the under in what projects as a grind-it-out spot.
Actual: 9Line: 13.5
Fri, Mar 13 at 11:30 AM ET
Posted Mar 13 10:42 AM ET

Feb 25

๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€
๐ŸŽ“๐Ÿ€AJ DybantsaBYU
Win
Under30.5Points
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+10.4% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Dybantsa's usage rate has been trending down in recent games while the betting public is still pricing him like he's getting unlimited touches. โšก The Play Taking the under on a hyped freshman whose role is more limited than the market realizes.
Actual: 29Line: 30.5
Tue, Feb 24 at 11:00 PM ET
Posted Feb 24 2:50 PM ET

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