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Record
85-70-9
Units
+11.68u
ROI
+7.5%
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Apr 3

πŸ’
πŸ’Matt SavoieEDM
Push
Under2.5Shots On Goal
-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+6.9% edgeCHI @ EDM
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Savoie's been getting buried in limited minutes on Chicago's fourth line while the model shows his shot volume trending well below this inflated number. ⚑ The Play Young forward in a restricted role against Edmonton's improved defensive structure sets up perfectly for an under hit.
Thu, Apr 2 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 7:47 AM ET

Mar 31

πŸ’
πŸ’Ivan DemidovMTL
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+102 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.0% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Demidov's playing time has been trending down lately, and Tampa's aggressive defensive scheme typically limits rookie scoring chances. ⚑ The Play The young forward's limited minutes and Tampa's home ice advantage create a perfect storm for staying under this modest total.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 10:59 AM ET

Mar 28

πŸ’
πŸ’Jason Robertsondal
Lose
Under3.5Shots On Goal
+100 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+5.1% edgeDallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Robertson's shot volume has been inconsistent on the road, and Pittsburgh's defensive structure has been limiting opposing wingers' shot attempts. ⚑ The Play Model's been cooking lately, and Robertson's trending toward a quieter offensive night in this spot.
Actual: 5Line: 3.5
Sat, Mar 28 at 5:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 28 7:30 AM ET

Mar 25

πŸ’
πŸ’Dougie Hamiltonnjd
Win
Under2.5Shots On Goal
+115NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+10.3% edgeNew Jersey Devils @ Dallas Stars
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Hamilton's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games, while Dallas's defensive structure typically limits defensemen's shooting opportunities from the point. ⚑ The Play The market is overvaluing Hamilton's offensive output in what projects as a tighter defensive battle in Dallas.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Tue, Mar 24 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 24 7:47 AM ET

Mar 24

πŸ’
πŸ’Matthew Tkachukfla
Win
Under3.5Shots On Goal
-147 FanDuel Β· 1u
+5.2% edgeSeattle Kraken @ Florida Panthers
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Tkachuk's shot volume has been trending down against defensive-minded teams like Seattle who limit quality scoring chances. ⚑ The Play The market hasn't adjusted to Tkachuk's recent shift toward more playmaking against structured defensive systems.
Actual: 1Line: 3.5
Tue, Mar 24 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 24 3:57 PM ET

Mar 21

πŸ’
πŸ’Vladimir Tarasenkomin
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+178NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+11.5% edgeDallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Tarasenko's shot volume has been trending down significantly in recent games while the model projects him well below this inflated number. ⚑ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees Tarasenko's limited ice time against Minnesota's tight defensive structure keeping his opportunities scarce.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Sat, Mar 21 at 4:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 21 3:29 PM ET

Mar 19

πŸ’
πŸ’Christian Dvorak
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+121NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+5.8% edgePhiladelphia Flyers @ Anaheim Ducks
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Dvorak's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the model still overvalues his offensive output against this Ducks defense. ⚑ The Play Taking the under on a center who's seeing limited offensive zone starts and facing a surprisingly stingy Anaheim home defense.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Wed, Mar 18 at 10:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 18 7:47 AM ET

Mar 17

πŸ’
πŸ’Yegor ChinakhovPIT
Push
Under2.5Shots On Goal
-157 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+14.4% edgePittsburgh Penguins @ Colorado Avalanche
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Chinakhov's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while his ice time remains limited in this road spot. ⚑ The Play The model sees value on the under with Colorado's defensive pressure likely limiting quality looks for the young winger.
Mon, Mar 16 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted Mar 16 3:56 PM ET

Mar 14

πŸ’
πŸ’Charlie Coyle
Win
Under1.5Shots On Goal
-109NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+5.0% edgeColumbus Blue Jackets @ Philadelphia Flyers
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Coyle's shot volume has been trending down in recent road spots, and the model's been cooking lately with this exact scenario. ⚑ The Play Third-line deployment against Philly's improved defensive structure should keep his opportunities limited tonight.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Sat, Mar 14 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted Mar 14 10:25 AM ET

Mar 13

πŸ’
πŸ’Sam Rinzel
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+152NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+10.8% edgeChicago Blackhawks @ Utah Mammoth
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Rinzel's shot volume in what projects as a defensively structured road game for Chicago. ⚑ The Play Young defenseman in a limited role should struggle to generate quality shooting opportunities against Utah's improved defensive structure.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Thu, Mar 12 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 12 7:34 AM ET

Mar 8

πŸ’
πŸ’David Pastrnak
Lose
Under3.5Shots On Goal
-114NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+6.7% edgeBoston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Pittsburgh's aggressive defensive structure has been limiting opposing star forwards' shot volume in recent home matchups. ⚑ The Play Pastrnak's shot generation has been trending down against teams that prioritize collapsing on elite scorers like the Penguins do.
Actual: 4Line: 3.5
Sun, Mar 8 at 4:30 PM ET
Posted Mar 8 3:26 PM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Marco Kasper
Win
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+114NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+6.1% edgeDetroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Kasper's been averaging minimal ice time in his recent call-up, and tonight's pace-heavy matchup against New Jersey typically sees Detroit roll four lines more evenly. ⚑ The Play The rookie forward's limited deployment and New Jersey's defensive structure create a perfect storm for staying under this number.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Sun, Mar 8 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 8 7:21 AM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Sean DurziUTA
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+120 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+11.6% edgeUtah Mammoth @ Columbus Blue Jackets
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Durzi's shot volume has been trending down lately while the model's been cooking with recent picks, and this line feels a touch generous for his current usage pattern. ⚑ The Play Banking on the defenseman staying under this number in what projects as a more defensive-minded road matchup for Utah.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Sat, Mar 7 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 7 2:24 PM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Darren RaddyshTBL
Lose
Under2.5Shots On Goal
+136 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+7.3% edgeTampa Bay Lightning @ Toronto Maple Leafs
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Raddysh's defensive role limits his offensive opportunities, and the model's been cooking lately with this exact scenario. ⚑ The Play Tampa's depth defenseman stays conservative on the road against Toronto's aggressive forecheck, keeping shot attempts minimal.
Actual: 5Line: 2.5
Sat, Mar 7 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 7 6:20 AM ET

Mar 7

πŸ’
πŸ’Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH
Win
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+158 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+5.9% edgeWashington Capitals @ Boston Bruins
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Dubois has been relegated to limited minutes in recent games while the model's been cooking lately with 4 of 5 hitting. ⚑ The Play Boston's defensive structure at home should keep this skilled center from finding quality shooting lanes in what projects as a lower-event game.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Sat, Mar 7 at 12:30 PM ET
Posted Mar 7 9:19 AM ET

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