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Record
85-70-9
Units
+11.68u
ROI
+7.5%
Pending
4
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Apr 5

πŸŽ“πŸ€
πŸŽ“πŸ€Nimari Burnett
Pending
Under8.5Points
-119 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+8.9% edgeMichigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Burnett's role has been shrinking in conference play while Arizona's pace continues to trend down in meaningful games. ⚑ The Play The market hasn't adjusted to his reduced minutes against quality opponents like Michigan's disciplined defense.
Sat, Apr 4 at 8:49 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 7:56 AM ET

Today's Picks

πŸ€
πŸ€Jakob Poeltltor
Pending
Under7.5Rebounds
+115 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+6.7% edgeToronto Raptors @ Memphis Grizzlies
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Poeltl's projected glass work sits right at the number, but Memphis allows fewer offensive rebounds than most realize. ⚑ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees limited upside for the big man in what should be a controlled game script.
Fri, Apr 3 at 8:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 10:41 AM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Brice Sensabaughuta
Pending
Under2.5Assists
+132 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.2% edgeUtah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Sensabaugh's recent uptick in floor time, but his usage remains minimal in Utah's deep rotation. ⚑ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees a clear disconnect β€” Sensabaugh's scoring-first mentality in limited touches makes this under a strong play.
Fri, Apr 3 at 8:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 7:40 AM ET

Apr 3

⚾
⚾Joe Boyletb
Pending
Under14.5Pitching Outs
+129 Caesars Β· 1u
+15.6% edgeTampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Boyle's been getting shorter leashes lately and this Rays lineup has been working counts deep into games. ⚑ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees a pitcher who's shown clear stamina concerns facing a team that loves to grind out at-bats.
Fri, Apr 3 at 4:21 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 3:42 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Luka DončiΔ‡LAL
Win
Under7.5Assists
+102 DraftKings Β· 1u
+8.2% edgeLos Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Wait, this appears to be Luka DončiΔ‡ props but the game listed is Lakers @ Thunder - Luka plays for Dallas, so there seems to be a mismatch in the data provided. ⚑ The Play Cannot confidently analyze this pick due to conflicting game/player information.
Actual: 7Line: 7.5
Thu, Apr 2 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 10:52 AM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Matt SavoieEDM
Push
Under2.5Shots On Goal
-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+6.9% edgeCHI @ EDM
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Savoie's been getting buried in limited minutes on Chicago's fourth line while the model shows his shot volume trending well below this inflated number. ⚑ The Play Young forward in a restricted role against Edmonton's improved defensive structure sets up perfectly for an under hit.
Thu, Apr 2 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 7:47 AM ET

Apr 2

πŸ€
πŸ€Devin Bookerphx
Win
Under26.5Points
-130 Fliff Β· 1u
+11.8% edgePhoenix Suns @ Charlotte Hornets
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Booker's reduced usage in blowout-prone road spots against rebuilding teams creates serious value on his scoring props. ⚑ The Play The market hasn't adjusted for his limited offensive role when Phoenix controls games early against lottery-bound opponents.
Actual: 22Line: 26.5
Thu, Apr 2 at 7:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 3:54 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Cody Williamsuta
Win
Under18.5Pts+Rebs
+126ProphetXProphetXΒ· 1u
+15.5% edgeDenver Nuggets at Utah Jazz
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Williams' production in what projects as a pace-down game against Denver's disciplined defense. ⚑ The Play The rookie's limited role and inconsistent rebounding make this number too high for a grind-it-out divisional matchup.
Actual: 11Line: 18.5
Wed, Apr 1 at 9:12 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 4:01 PM ET

Apr 1

πŸ€
πŸ€Derrick Whitebos
Win
Under2.53-PT Made
+114 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.8% edgeBoston Celtics @ Miami Heat
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE White's three-point volume has been trending down in recent road games, while Miami's perimeter defense has been significantly more disciplined at home. ⚑ The Play The market is overvaluing White's shooting based on his hot streak from two weeks ago, but his limited touches in this matchup create a clear under opportunity.
Actual: 0Line: 2.5
Wed, Apr 1 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 11:02 AM ET
⚾
⚾Matt Chapmansf
Lose
Under1.5Total Bases
-157 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.2% edgeSan Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Chapman's been ice cold against quality righties lately and Padres starter has been limiting hard contact from left-handed bats. ⚑ The Play Taking the under on a struggling Chapman who faces a pitcher that's been neutralizing lefties in recent outings.
Actual: 5Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 9:41 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 3:58 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Brook Lopezlac
Lose
Under1.53-PT Made
+164ProphetXProphetXΒ· 1u
+18.1% edgePortland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Clippers
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Lopez's limited usage in a fast-paced road spot creates value on a line that doesn't reflect his reduced offensive role. ⚑ The Play Fading the big man's three-point volume in what projects as a pace-up game where his touches get squeezed.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 11:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 7:52 AM ET

Mar 31

πŸ’
πŸ’Ivan DemidovMTL
Lose
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+102 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.0% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Demidov's playing time has been trending down lately, and Tampa's aggressive defensive scheme typically limits rookie scoring chances. ⚑ The Play The young forward's limited minutes and Tampa's home ice advantage create a perfect storm for staying under this modest total.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 10:59 AM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Sam Merrillcle
Win
Under20.5Pts+Rebs+Asts
+104NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+9.3% edgeCleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Merrill's limited role and low usage rate make this total appear slightly generous for a role player averaging moderate minutes. ⚑ The Play Banking on the bench scorer to stay within his typical production range against a solid Jazz defense at home.
Actual: 16Line: 20.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 9:10 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 3:59 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Ace BaileyUTA
Lose
Under2.53-PT Made
+118 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+7.0% edgeCleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Bailey's extremely limited usage in his backup role makes hitting three triples a tall order despite the projected minutes. ⚑ The Play The model likes his floor time but that minimal offensive involvement keeps his three-point attempts capped in a tough spot.
Actual: 3Line: 2.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 7:57 AM ET

Mar 30

πŸ€
πŸ€Joel EmbiidPHI
Win
Under28.5Points
-110 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+6.4% edgePhiladelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Embiid's minutes are being carefully managed in this spot while Miami's defensive scheme has been particularly effective against dominant centers. ⚑ The Play The model shows clear value on the under with Embiid operating in a more limited role than the betting market realizes.
Actual: 26Line: 28.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 11:01 AM ET

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