Free Sports Picks
AI-powered picks with verified results. No paywall, no hidden record.
Record
85-70-9
Units
+11.68u
ROI
+7.5%
Pending
4
Apr 5
ππ
ππNimari BurnettPending
Under8.5Points-119 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+8.9% edgeMichigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
π THE EDGE
Burnett's role has been shrinking in conference play while Arizona's pace continues to trend down in meaningful games.
β‘ The Play
The market hasn't adjusted to his reduced minutes against quality opponents like Michigan's disciplined defense.
Sat, Apr 4 at 8:49 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 7:56 AM ET
Today's Picks
π
πJakob PoeltltorPending
Under7.5Rebounds+115 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+6.7% edgeToronto Raptors @ Memphis Grizzlies
π THE EDGE
Poeltl's projected glass work sits right at the number, but Memphis allows fewer offensive rebounds than most realize.
β‘ The Play
Model's been cooking lately and sees limited upside for the big man in what should be a controlled game script.
Fri, Apr 3 at 8:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 10:41 AM ET
π
πBrice SensabaughutaPending
Under2.5Assists+132 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.2% edgeUtah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
π THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Sensabaugh's recent uptick in floor time, but his usage remains minimal in Utah's deep rotation.
β‘ The Play
Model's been cooking lately and sees a clear disconnect β Sensabaugh's scoring-first mentality in limited touches makes this under a strong play.
Fri, Apr 3 at 8:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 7:40 AM ET
Apr 3
βΎ
βΎJoe BoyletbPending
Under14.5Pitching Outs+129 Caesars Β· 1u
+15.6% edgeTampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins
π THE EDGE
Boyle's been getting shorter leashes lately and this Rays lineup has been working counts deep into games.
β‘ The Play
Model's been cooking lately and sees a pitcher who's shown clear stamina concerns facing a team that loves to grind out at-bats.
Fri, Apr 3 at 4:21 PM ET
Posted Apr 3 3:42 PM ET
π
πLuka DonΔiΔLALWin
Under7.5Assists+102 DraftKings Β· 1u
+8.2% edgeLos Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
π THE EDGE
Wait, this appears to be Luka DonΔiΔ props but the game listed is Lakers @ Thunder - Luka plays for Dallas, so there seems to be a mismatch in the data provided.
β‘ The Play
Cannot confidently analyze this pick due to conflicting game/player information.
Actual: 7Line: 7.5
Thu, Apr 2 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 10:52 AM ET
π
πMatt SavoieEDMPush
Under2.5Shots On Goal-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+6.9% edgeCHI @ EDM
π THE EDGE
Savoie's been getting buried in limited minutes on Chicago's fourth line while the model shows his shot volume trending well below this inflated number.
β‘ The Play
Young forward in a restricted role against Edmonton's improved defensive structure sets up perfectly for an under hit.
Thu, Apr 2 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 7:47 AM ET
Apr 2
π
πDevin BookerphxWin
Under26.5Points-130 Fliff Β· 1u
+11.8% edgePhoenix Suns @ Charlotte Hornets
π THE EDGE
Booker's reduced usage in blowout-prone road spots against rebuilding teams creates serious value on his scoring props.
β‘ The Play
The market hasn't adjusted for his limited offensive role when Phoenix controls games early against lottery-bound opponents.
Actual: 22Line: 26.5
Thu, Apr 2 at 7:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 2 3:54 PM ET
π
πCody WilliamsutaWin
+15.5% edgeDenver Nuggets at Utah Jazz
π THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Williams' production in what projects as a pace-down game against Denver's disciplined defense.
β‘ The Play
The rookie's limited role and inconsistent rebounding make this number too high for a grind-it-out divisional matchup.
Actual: 11Line: 18.5
Wed, Apr 1 at 9:12 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 4:01 PM ET
Apr 1
π
πDerrick WhitebosWin
Under2.53-PT Made+114 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.8% edgeBoston Celtics @ Miami Heat
π THE EDGE
White's three-point volume has been trending down in recent road games, while Miami's perimeter defense has been significantly more disciplined at home.
β‘ The Play
The market is overvaluing White's shooting based on his hot streak from two weeks ago, but his limited touches in this matchup create a clear under opportunity.
Actual: 0Line: 2.5
Wed, Apr 1 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 1 11:02 AM ET
βΎ
βΎMatt ChapmansfLose
Under1.5Total Bases-157 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.2% edgeSan Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres
π THE EDGE
Chapman's been ice cold against quality righties lately and Padres starter has been limiting hard contact from left-handed bats.
β‘ The Play
Taking the under on a struggling Chapman who faces a pitcher that's been neutralizing lefties in recent outings.
Actual: 5Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 9:41 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 3:58 PM ET
π
πBrook LopezlacLose
+18.1% edgePortland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Clippers
π THE EDGE
Lopez's limited usage in a fast-paced road spot creates value on a line that doesn't reflect his reduced offensive role.
β‘ The Play
Fading the big man's three-point volume in what projects as a pace-up game where his touches get squeezed.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 11:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 7:52 AM ET
Mar 31
π
πIvan DemidovMTLLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+102 FanDuel Β· 1u
+7.0% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
π THE EDGE
Demidov's playing time has been trending down lately, and Tampa's aggressive defensive scheme typically limits rookie scoring chances.
β‘ The Play
The young forward's limited minutes and Tampa's home ice advantage create a perfect storm for staying under this modest total.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Tue, Mar 31 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 31 10:59 AM ET
π
πSam MerrillcleWin
+9.3% edgeCleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz
π THE EDGE
Merrill's limited role and low usage rate make this total appear slightly generous for a role player averaging moderate minutes.
β‘ The Play
Banking on the bench scorer to stay within his typical production range against a solid Jazz defense at home.
Actual: 16Line: 20.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 9:10 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 3:59 PM ET
π
πAce BaileyUTALose
Under2.53-PT Made+118 Bookmaker Β· 1u
+7.0% edgeCleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz
π THE EDGE
Bailey's extremely limited usage in his backup role makes hitting three triples a tall order despite the projected minutes.
β‘ The Play
The model likes his floor time but that minimal offensive involvement keeps his three-point attempts capped in a tough spot.
Actual: 3Line: 2.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 9:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 7:57 AM ET
Mar 30
π
πJoel EmbiidPHIWin
Under28.5Points-110 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+6.4% edgePhiladelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat
π THE EDGE
Embiid's minutes are being carefully managed in this spot while Miami's defensive scheme has been particularly effective against dominant centers.
β‘ The Play
The model shows clear value on the under with Embiid operating in a more limited role than the betting market realizes.
Actual: 26Line: 28.5
Mon, Mar 30 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Mar 30 11:01 AM ET