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Record
151-123-15
Units
+21.18u
ROI
+7.7%
Pending
6
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May 20

πŸ€
πŸ€Mitchell RobinsonNYK
Pending
Under12.5Pts+Rebs+Asts
+100 DraftKings Β· 1u
+9.2% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Mitchell Robinson's role has been severely limited lately with the Knicks managing his minutes carefully, and this line hasn't adjusted to reflect his reduced floor time. ⚑ The Play Robinson's production has been trending down consistently, and with the model running hot on recent calls, this under looks like easy money.
Tue, May 19 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 18 11:02 AM ET

Today's Picks

πŸ€
πŸ€Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
Pending
Under37.5Pts+Asts
-106 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.6% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE The books are overvaluing SGA's recent hot streak while ignoring his tendency to distribute more when the Thunder control games early. ⚑ The Play With Oklahoma City's depth stepping up lately, Gilgeous-Alexander's usage dips just enough to keep him under this inflated number.
Mon, May 18 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted May 16 7:24 AM ET

May 18

πŸ’
πŸ’Bowen ByramBUF
Pending
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+100 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.6% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are sleeping on Byram's limited offensive deployment since joining Buffalo, where he's averaging well below his historical shot volume in a more defensive role. ⚑ The Play With the model riding hot and projecting Byram to stay quiet tonight, this under looks like easy money against Montreal's structured defensive system.
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 18 3:37 PM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Tage Thompsonbuf
Pending
Under3.5Shots On Goal
-107NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+7.1% edgeMontreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Thompson's shot volume has been trending down in recent matchups against Montreal's improved defensive structure, creating value on this under. ⚑ The Play With the model projecting right at the line and our recent hot streak backing the analysis, Thompson stays under 3.5 shots as Buffalo focuses on getting him quality looks over quantity.
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 18 8:11 AM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Alex Newhookmtl
Pending
Under1.5Shots On Goal
+145 DraftKings Β· 1u
+9.9% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Newhook's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the books haven't adjusted this line to reflect his more limited offensive role. ⚑ The Play Taking the under on a player whose recent usage patterns suggest he's not getting the same quality scoring chances as earlier in the season.
Mon, May 18 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted May 17 3:31 PM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Jack QuinnBUF
Pending
Under2.5Shots On Goal
+100 DraftKings Β· 1u
+6.2% edgeMontrΓ©al Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Quinn's been getting sheltered minutes in Buffalo's bottom-six rotation, and the books haven't caught up to his reduced offensive deployment. ⚑ The Play The model projects Quinn staying well below this inflated number given his limited ice time and Montreal's improved defensive structure lately.
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 17 10:28 AM ET

May 17

πŸ‘©πŸ€
πŸ‘©πŸ€Cameron BrinkLAS
Win
Under7.5Points
-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+6.3% edgeTOR @ LAS
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Brink's scoring output has been consistently capped by her defensive-first role and limited offensive touches in recent games. ⚑ The Play The model shows clear value on the under with Toronto's pace likely keeping possessions down and Brink's minutes potentially limited in what could be a blowout spot.
Actual: 7Line: 7.5
Sun, May 17 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted May 17 7:27 AM ET
πŸ’
πŸ’Nick SuzukiMTL
Win
Under2.5Shots On Goal
-119 PrizePicks Β· 1u
+5.4% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Suzuki's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the books haven't caught up to his more selective shooting approach. ⚑ The Play Montreal's top center is playing a more defensive-minded role lately, creating fewer high-danger looks and settling for quality over quantity.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Sat, May 16 at 8:11 PM ET
Posted May 15 7:40 AM ET

May 16

⚾
⚾Tyler O'NeillBAL
Lose
Under1.5Total Bases
-162 DraftKings Β· 1u
+6.2% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are pricing O'Neill like he's still the Cardinals slugger, but his limited role and inconsistent playing time this season create serious value on the under. ⚑ The Play O'Neill's reduced plate appearances and struggle to find his rhythm make this under a sharp fade of an inflated line.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Sat, May 16 at 4:05 PM ET
Posted May 16 3:30 PM ET
⚾
⚾Joc Pedersontex
Win
Under1.5Total Bases
-208 Prop Builder Β· 1u
+8.1% edgeTexas Rangers @ Houston Astros
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are sleeping on Pederson's recent struggles against quality right-handed pitching, creating value on the under in what should be a pitcher-friendly matchup. ⚑ The Play Pederson's limited opportunities against this Houston staff make the under 1.5 total bases the sharp side tonight.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Sat, May 16 at 7:11 PM ET
Posted May 16 10:26 AM ET
⚾
⚾Randy VÑsquezSD
Win
Under4.5Pitcher Strikeouts
-119 PrizePicks Β· 1u
+5.4% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE VΓ‘squez has been working in a limited role lately and this number looks inflated based on his recent usage patterns. ⚑ The Play Taking the under on a pitcher who's trending toward shorter outings against a lineup that makes contact at a high rate.
Actual: 3Line: 4.5
Fri, May 15 at 9:40 PM ET
Posted May 15 3:37 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Ayo Dosunmumin
Lose
Under3.5Assists
+111 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.1% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are slow to adjust to Dosunmu's reduced playmaking role with Chicago's recent lineup changes limiting his floor general duties. ⚑ The Play The model's been absolutely dialed in lately, and Dosunmu's assist opportunities have been trending down as he's shifted more toward spot-up shooting in his current role.
Actual: 9Line: 3.5
Fri, May 15 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted May 13 7:44 AM ET

May 15

⚾
⚾Moisés BallesterosCHC
Lose
Under0.5Hits
+172 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.4% edge
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are sleeping on Ballesteros' limited playing time as he transitions into a more specialized role this season. ⚑ The Play The recent usage patterns strongly favor the under with his reduced opportunities at the plate trending downward.
Actual: 1Line: 0.5
Fri, May 15 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted May 15 10:47 AM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Ausar Thompsondet
Lose
Under6.5Rebounds
+114NoVigNoVigΒ· 1u
+5.3% edgeDetroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Thompson's rebounding upside in what projects to be a pace-down road spot against Cleveland's improved interior presence. ⚑ The Play Thompson's limited offensive role keeps him away from prime rebounding positions, and this number feels inflated for a player trending toward more perimeter responsibilities.
Actual: 9Line: 6.5
Fri, May 15 at 7:05 PM ET
Posted May 14 3:37 PM ET
πŸ€
πŸ€Duncan RobinsonDET
Lose
Under14.5Pts+Rebs
-111 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.5% edgeDET@CLE
πŸ’Ž THE EDGE Robinson's limited role off the bench has him trending well under this inflated total in recent games. ⚑ The Play The books are slow to adjust to his reduced usage in Cleveland's rotation, making this under a sharp fade spot.
Actual: 16Line: 14.5
Fri, May 15 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted May 14 7:36 AM ET

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