โพFree MLB Picks
AI-powered MLB player prop picks with verified results. Daily through the season โ no paywall.
Record
12-12-1
Units
-0.57u
ROI
-2.4%
Pending
1
May 2
โพ
โพLawrence ButlerOAKPending
Under1.5Total Bases-187 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.3% edge
๐ THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Butler's recent struggles against quality pitching, creating value on the under with his contact rate trending down.
โก The Play
Butler's been pressing at the plate lately and this matchup sets up perfectly for a quiet night - taking the under on total bases.
Sat, May 2 at 4:05 PM ET
Posted May 2 10:18 AM ET
May 1
โพ
โพCody BellingernyyLose
Under1.5Total Bases-158 DraftKings ยท 1u
+8.0% edge
๐ THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Bellinger's recent cold stretch and the fact he's been making weaker contact against this pitching style.
โก The Play
Taking the under on his total bases here as the matchup heavily favors keeping him off the basepaths with minimal hard contact expected.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Fri, May 1 at 7:06 PM ET
Posted May 1 10:23 AM ET
Apr 26
โพ
โพJake CronenworthsdWin
+5.6% edgeSan Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
๐ THE EDGE
Cronenworth's bat has gone ice cold against righties lately, and Arizona's starter has been quietly dominant limiting contact from lefties.
โก The Play
Model's been cooking lately, and this line feels generous given Jake's recent struggles in similar spots.
Actual: 0Line: 0.5
Sun, Apr 26 at 4:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 26 3:25 PM ET
Apr 24
โพ
โพPaul SkenesPITLose
Under6.5Pitcher Strikeouts-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+7.2% edge
๐ THE EDGE
Books are pricing Skenes like he's getting a full starter's workload, but Pittsburgh continues managing his rookie innings carefully down the stretch.
โก The Play
Take the under on a phenom who's being handled with kid gloves while the line assumes he's going deep.
Actual: 7Line: 6.5
Fri, Apr 24 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted Apr 24 3:25 PM ET
โพ
โพBrandon LowePITWin
Under1.5Total Bases-181 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.9% edge
๐ THE EDGE
Lowe's recent contact quality has been concerning and this number doesn't reflect his current swing-and-miss tendencies.
โก The Play
Banking on the second baseman's struggles to find the barrel consistently in what projects as a pitcher-friendly spot.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Thu, Apr 23 at 8:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 23 3:37 PM ET
Apr 23
โพ
โพCristopher SanchezPHIWin
Under18.5Pitching Outs-185 Caesars ยท 1u
+21.5% edgePhiladelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
๐ THE EDGE
Sanchez has been pulled early in his last three starts when facing quality lineups, and the Cubs' improved offensive approach should force another shortened outing.
โก The Play
Taking the under on a pitcher who's shown clear fatigue patterns against teams that can work counts and force pitch escalation.
Actual: 16Line: 18.5
Thu, Apr 23 at 2:20 PM ET
Posted Apr 23 10:48 AM ET
โพ
โพKonnor GriffinpitWin
+5.7% edgePittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers
๐ THE EDGE
Griffin's been getting extremely limited plate appearances in his recent call-ups, making this number way too generous for his current role.
โก The Play
Backup utility player facing a tough Rangers staff with minimal expected at-bats creates excellent value on the under.
Actual: 0Line: 0.5
Wed, Apr 22 at 8:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 22 10:37 AM ET
Apr 20
โพ
โพSpencer ArrighettiHOUWin
Under16.5Pitching Outs-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+6.3% edge
๐ THE EDGE
Arrighetti's pitch count management has been noticeably tighter in recent starts, with the coaching staff prioritizing arm preservation over extended outings.
โก The Play
This number assumes a deeper start than Houston's current approach suggests, especially with their bullpen rested and ready for early deployment.
Actual: 15Line: 16.5
Mon, Apr 20 at 6:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 20 10:37 AM ET
Apr 18
โพ
โพOneil CruzpitLose
+6.5% edgeTampa Bay Rays at Pittsburgh Pirates
๐ THE EDGE
Cruz's aggressive swing approach plays right into Tampa Bay's pitching staff strengths with their elite command and secondary stuff.
โก The Play
The Rays' arms have been neutralizing free-swinging power hitters all season, and Cruz's contact issues make this number very gettable.
Actual: 1Line: 0.5
Sat, Apr 18 at 3:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 18 10:18 AM ET
Apr 17
โพ
โพRhys HoskinscleWin
Under1.5Total Bases-192 Caesars ยท 1u
+6.5% edgeBaltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians
๐ THE EDGE
Hoskins has been struggling against left-handed pitching this season, and Cleveland's southpaw starter has been dominating right-handed batters at home.
โก The Play
The matchup dynamics heavily favor taking the under on a hitter who's shown clear platoon vulnerabilities in this spot.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Fri, Apr 17 at 6:11 PM ET
Posted Apr 17 3:31 PM ET
Apr 16
โพ
โพWeston WilsonbalPush
Under0.5Total Bases+102 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.5% edgeBaltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians
๐ THE EDGE
Wilson's batting average against quality righties like Cleveland's probable starter sits well below his season mark, making this total look generous.
โก The Play
The platoon role and tough matchup create a clear path to zero bases in what should be limited opportunities.
Thu, Apr 16 at 6:11 PM ET
Posted Apr 16 3:35 PM ET
โพ
โพJonathan IndiakcLose
+6.0% edgeKansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
๐ THE EDGE
India's limited role off the bench against tough right-handed pitching creates a massive disconnect in this line.
โก The Play
The matchup fundamentals heavily favor a quiet night for India in what projects as a low-contact spot.
Actual: 1Line: 0.5
Thu, Apr 16 at 1:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 16 10:39 AM ET
โพ
โพJoc PedersontexWin
Under1.5Total Bases-189 Caesars ยท 1u
+7.2% edgeTexas Rangers @ Athletics
๐ THE EDGE
Pederson's struggling against righties this season while facing a pitcher who's been limiting power numbers at home.
โก The Play
The veteran outfielder's recent contact issues make this total too generous in an unfavorable matchup.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Wed, Apr 15 at 9:41 PM ET
Posted Apr 15 3:37 PM ET
Apr 13
โพ
โพJo AdelllaaLose
Under1.5Total Bases-161 Caesars ยท 1u
+8.7% edgeLos Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees
๐ THE EDGE
Adell's power numbers have fallen off a cliff lately while Yankees pitching has been suffocating righties in night games at home.
โก The Play
This line hasn't adjusted to reflect Adell's recent struggles against quality arms in pressure spots.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Mon, Apr 13 at 7:06 PM ET
Posted Apr 13 10:37 AM ET
Apr 12
โพ
โพDaulton VarshotorLose
Under1.5Total Bases-169 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.7% edgeMinnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays
๐ THE EDGE
Varsho's been getting limited opportunities in the bottom third of Toronto's order against Minnesota's improved pitching depth.
โก The Play
Backing the under on a hitter who's trending down in a spot where contact will be at a premium.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Sun, Apr 12 at 1:38 PM ET
Posted Apr 12 10:39 AM ET
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