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Record
12-12-1
Units
-0.57u
ROI
-2.4%
Pending
1
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May 2

โšพ
โšพLawrence ButlerOAK
Pending
Under1.5Total Bases
-187 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.3% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are sleeping on Butler's recent struggles against quality pitching, creating value on the under with his contact rate trending down. โšก The Play Butler's been pressing at the plate lately and this matchup sets up perfectly for a quiet night - taking the under on total bases.
Sat, May 2 at 4:05 PM ET
Posted May 2 10:18 AM ET

May 1

โšพ
โšพCody Bellingernyy
Lose
Under1.5Total Bases
-158 DraftKings ยท 1u
+8.0% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are sleeping on Bellinger's recent cold stretch and the fact he's been making weaker contact against this pitching style. โšก The Play Taking the under on his total bases here as the matchup heavily favors keeping him off the basepaths with minimal hard contact expected.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Fri, May 1 at 7:06 PM ET
Posted May 1 10:23 AM ET

Apr 26

โšพ
โšพJake Cronenworthsd
Win
+5.6% edgeSan Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Cronenworth's bat has gone ice cold against righties lately, and Arizona's starter has been quietly dominant limiting contact from lefties. โšก The Play Model's been cooking lately, and this line feels generous given Jake's recent struggles in similar spots.
Actual: 0Line: 0.5
Sun, Apr 26 at 4:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 26 3:25 PM ET

Apr 24

โšพ
โšพPaul SkenesPIT
Lose
Under6.5Pitcher Strikeouts
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+7.2% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Books are pricing Skenes like he's getting a full starter's workload, but Pittsburgh continues managing his rookie innings carefully down the stretch. โšก The Play Take the under on a phenom who's being handled with kid gloves while the line assumes he's going deep.
Actual: 7Line: 6.5
Fri, Apr 24 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted Apr 24 3:25 PM ET
โšพ
โšพBrandon LowePIT
Win
Under1.5Total Bases
-181 DraftKings ยท 1u
+6.9% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Lowe's recent contact quality has been concerning and this number doesn't reflect his current swing-and-miss tendencies. โšก The Play Banking on the second baseman's struggles to find the barrel consistently in what projects as a pitcher-friendly spot.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Thu, Apr 23 at 8:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 23 3:37 PM ET

Apr 23

โšพ
โšพCristopher SanchezPHI
Win
Under18.5Pitching Outs
-185 Caesars ยท 1u
+21.5% edgePhiladelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Sanchez has been pulled early in his last three starts when facing quality lineups, and the Cubs' improved offensive approach should force another shortened outing. โšก The Play Taking the under on a pitcher who's shown clear fatigue patterns against teams that can work counts and force pitch escalation.
Actual: 16Line: 18.5
Thu, Apr 23 at 2:20 PM ET
Posted Apr 23 10:48 AM ET
โšพ
โšพKonnor Griffinpit
Win
+5.7% edgePittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Griffin's been getting extremely limited plate appearances in his recent call-ups, making this number way too generous for his current role. โšก The Play Backup utility player facing a tough Rangers staff with minimal expected at-bats creates excellent value on the under.
Actual: 0Line: 0.5
Wed, Apr 22 at 8:05 PM ET
Posted Apr 22 10:37 AM ET

Apr 20

โšพ
โšพSpencer ArrighettiHOU
Win
Under16.5Pitching Outs
-119 PrizePicks ยท 1u
+6.3% edge
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Arrighetti's pitch count management has been noticeably tighter in recent starts, with the coaching staff prioritizing arm preservation over extended outings. โšก The Play This number assumes a deeper start than Houston's current approach suggests, especially with their bullpen rested and ready for early deployment.
Actual: 15Line: 16.5
Mon, Apr 20 at 6:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 20 10:37 AM ET

Apr 18

โšพ
โšพOneil Cruzpit
Lose
+6.5% edgeTampa Bay Rays at Pittsburgh Pirates
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Cruz's aggressive swing approach plays right into Tampa Bay's pitching staff strengths with their elite command and secondary stuff. โšก The Play The Rays' arms have been neutralizing free-swinging power hitters all season, and Cruz's contact issues make this number very gettable.
Actual: 1Line: 0.5
Sat, Apr 18 at 3:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 18 10:18 AM ET

Apr 17

โšพ
โšพRhys Hoskinscle
Win
Under1.5Total Bases
-192 Caesars ยท 1u
+6.5% edgeBaltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Hoskins has been struggling against left-handed pitching this season, and Cleveland's southpaw starter has been dominating right-handed batters at home. โšก The Play The matchup dynamics heavily favor taking the under on a hitter who's shown clear platoon vulnerabilities in this spot.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Fri, Apr 17 at 6:11 PM ET
Posted Apr 17 3:31 PM ET

Apr 16

โšพ
โšพWeston Wilsonbal
Push
Under0.5Total Bases
+102 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.5% edgeBaltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Wilson's batting average against quality righties like Cleveland's probable starter sits well below his season mark, making this total look generous. โšก The Play The platoon role and tough matchup create a clear path to zero bases in what should be limited opportunities.
Thu, Apr 16 at 6:11 PM ET
Posted Apr 16 3:35 PM ET
โšพ
โšพJonathan Indiakc
Lose
+6.0% edgeKansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE India's limited role off the bench against tough right-handed pitching creates a massive disconnect in this line. โšก The Play The matchup fundamentals heavily favor a quiet night for India in what projects as a low-contact spot.
Actual: 1Line: 0.5
Thu, Apr 16 at 1:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 16 10:39 AM ET
โšพ
โšพJoc Pedersontex
Win
Under1.5Total Bases
-189 Caesars ยท 1u
+7.2% edgeTexas Rangers @ Athletics
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Pederson's struggling against righties this season while facing a pitcher who's been limiting power numbers at home. โšก The Play The veteran outfielder's recent contact issues make this total too generous in an unfavorable matchup.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Wed, Apr 15 at 9:41 PM ET
Posted Apr 15 3:37 PM ET

Apr 13

โšพ
โšพJo Adelllaa
Lose
Under1.5Total Bases
-161 Caesars ยท 1u
+8.7% edgeLos Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Adell's power numbers have fallen off a cliff lately while Yankees pitching has been suffocating righties in night games at home. โšก The Play This line hasn't adjusted to reflect Adell's recent struggles against quality arms in pressure spots.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Mon, Apr 13 at 7:06 PM ET
Posted Apr 13 10:37 AM ET

Apr 12

โšพ
โšพDaulton Varshotor
Lose
Under1.5Total Bases
-169 Caesars ยท 1u
+5.7% edgeMinnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays
๐Ÿ’Ž THE EDGE Varsho's been getting limited opportunities in the bottom third of Toronto's order against Minnesota's improved pitching depth. โšก The Play Backing the under on a hitter who's trending down in a spot where contact will be at a premium.
Actual: 4Line: 1.5
Sun, Apr 12 at 1:38 PM ET
Posted Apr 12 10:39 AM ET

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