🏒Free NHL Picks
AI-powered NHL player prop picks with verified results. Updated daily through the season — no paywall.
Record
34-23-7
Units
+15.10u
ROI
+26.5%
Jun 12
🏒
🏒Jordan StaalCARLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+130 DraftKings · 1u
+6.6% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Staal's shot volume has been trending down significantly in recent games while the books haven't caught up to his increasingly limited offensive role.
⚡ The Play
The model is smoking hot right now and sees clear value on the veteran center staying quiet in what should be a defensive-minded matchup.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Thu, Jun 11 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted Jun 11 8:23 AM ET
🏒
🏒Brett HowdenVGKLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+100 DraftKings · 1u
+9.4% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Howden's peripheral stats are trending down and the books haven't caught up to his diminished offensive role in recent games.
⚡ The Play
This fourth-line center has been getting limited ice time in non-offensive situations, and our model shows clear value on the under with the way he's been deployed lately.
Actual: 3Line: 1.5
Thu, Jun 11 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted Jun 10 8:07 AM ET
Jun 5
🏒
🏒Shea TheodoreVGKWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal-115 Underdog · 1u
+5.4% edgeVGK @ CAR
💎 THE EDGE
Theodore's defensive responsibilities have been ramping up lately, keeping him focused more on shutdown play than generating offensive chances.
⚡ The Play
Vegas is leaning heavily on their blue line defensively in this road spot, which should limit Theodore's shot volume against Carolina's aggressive forecheck.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Thu, Jun 4 at 8:08 PM ET
Posted Jun 4 3:46 PM ET
May 30
🏒
🏒Juraj SlafkovskýMTLWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+150 DraftKings · 1u
+7.6% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Slafkovský's shot volume after a few outlier games, but his limited ice time in key offensive situations keeps his floor dangerously low.
⚡ The Play
With the model trending hot on recent picks, we're riding the momentum on a young player whose inconsistent deployment makes this number too high.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Fri, May 29 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 28 3:52 PM ET
May 26
🏒
🏒Ivan DemidovMTLWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+114 DraftKings · 1u
+6.6% edgeCarolina Hurricanes @ Montréal Canadiens
💎 THE EDGE
Books are slow to adjust for Demidov's limited ice time in his recent call-up, with the kid still finding his footing in NHL pace against a stingy Carolina defense.
⚡ The Play
Demidov's shot volume has been trending down as he adjusts to reduced minutes, and Carolina's defensive structure typically limits young forwards from generating quality looks.
Actual: 0Line: 1.5
Mon, May 25 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 25 3:36 PM ET
May 23
🏒
🏒Pavel DorofeyevVGKWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+105 DraftKings · 1u
+5.5% edgeVegas Golden Knights @ Colorado Avalanche
💎 THE EDGE
Dorofeyev's peripheral production has been trending down in recent road games, and Colorado's defensive structure typically limits secondary scoring chances from visiting wingers.
⚡ The Play
This line assumes too much volume for a player in a limited role against an Avalanche team that's been disciplined about forcing outside shots.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Fri, May 22 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 22 10:59 AM ET
🏒
🏒Jack EichelVGKWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+140 DraftKings · 1u
+7.3% edgeVegas Golden Knights @ Colorado Avalanche
💎 THE EDGE
Eichel's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games, and the books haven't caught up to his more conservative approach against elite defensive teams.
⚡ The Play
Colorado's structured defensive system at home consistently limits opposing top-line centers from getting their usual shot attempts, making this under a sharp fade of public perception.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Fri, May 22 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 21 11:01 AM ET
May 22
🏒
🏒Andrei SvechnikovCARWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+135 DraftKings · 1u
+6.7% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Svechnikov's recent shot volume decline, with the line sitting too high for a player who's been more selective with his attempts lately.
⚡ The Play
The model sees clear value on the under here — we're riding the hot streak with confidence as Svechnikov's shot generation has been trending down in a more limited offensive role.
Actual: 1Line: 2.5
Thu, May 21 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 20 11:01 AM ET
May 18
🏒
🏒Bowen ByramBUFWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+100 DraftKings · 1u
+5.6% edgeMontréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
💎 THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Byram's limited offensive deployment since joining Buffalo, where he's averaging well below his historical shot volume in a more defensive role.
⚡ The Play
With the model riding hot and projecting Byram to stay quiet tonight, this under looks like easy money against Montreal's structured defensive system.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 18 3:37 PM ET
🏒
🏒Tage ThompsonbufLose
+7.1% edgeMontreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
💎 THE EDGE
Thompson's shot volume has been trending down in recent matchups against Montreal's improved defensive structure, creating value on this under.
⚡ The Play
With the model projecting right at the line and our recent hot streak backing the analysis, Thompson stays under 3.5 shots as Buffalo focuses on getting him quality looks over quantity.
Actual: 5Line: 3.5
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 18 8:11 AM ET
🏒
🏒Alex NewhookmtlLose
Under1.5Shots On Goal+145 DraftKings · 1u
+9.9% edgeMontréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
💎 THE EDGE
Newhook's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the books haven't adjusted this line to reflect his more limited offensive role.
⚡ The Play
Taking the under on a player whose recent usage patterns suggest he's not getting the same quality scoring chances as earlier in the season.
Actual: 2Line: 1.5
Mon, May 18 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted May 17 3:31 PM ET
🏒
🏒Jack QuinnBUFWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+100 DraftKings · 1u
+6.2% edgeMontréal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
💎 THE EDGE
Quinn's been getting sheltered minutes in Buffalo's bottom-six rotation, and the books haven't caught up to his reduced offensive deployment.
⚡ The Play
The model projects Quinn staying well below this inflated number given his limited ice time and Montreal's improved defensive structure lately.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Mon, May 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 17 10:28 AM ET
May 17
🏒
🏒Nick SuzukiMTLWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal-119 PrizePicks · 1u
+5.4% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Suzuki's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the books haven't caught up to his more selective shooting approach.
⚡ The Play
Montreal's top center is playing a more defensive-minded role lately, creating fewer high-danger looks and settling for quality over quantity.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Sat, May 16 at 8:11 PM ET
Posted May 15 7:40 AM ET
May 14
🏒
🏒Juraj SlafkovskýMTLWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal-115 Underdog · 1u
+5.3% edgeMTL @ BUF
💎 THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Slafkovský's shot volume in what projects to be a low-event road game where Montreal's top line faces tighter defensive coverage.
⚡ The Play
The young winger's limited ice time in tough matchups has consistently kept his shot attempts below market expectations this season.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Thu, May 14 at 7:08 PM ET
Posted May 14 10:49 AM ET
May 13
🏒
🏒Leo CarlssonanaWin
Under3.5Shots On Goal-154 Caesars · 1u
+7.3% edgeAnaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
💎 THE EDGE
Vegas's defensive system has been limiting opposing forwards to fewer shot attempts, and Carlsson's recent usage patterns suggest the books haven't adjusted to his more limited offensive deployment.
⚡ The Play
With the model running hot and projecting Carlsson well under this inflated number, this smells like easy money against a line that's pricing in last month's production rather than current reality.
Actual: 2Line: 3.5
Tue, May 12 at 9:50 PM ET
Posted May 11 3:38 PM ET
About our NHL picks
Every NHL pick on this page is generated by our +EV model and posted publicly with full transparency. Each prediction includes the player, line, sportsbook, our edge versus the no-vig fair price, and the AI-written reasoning behind the pick.
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