πFree NHL Picks
AI-powered NHL player prop picks with verified results. Updated daily through the season β no paywall.
Record
17-15-9
Units
+3.99u
ROI
+12.5%
Pending
1
Today's Picks
π
πNikolaj EhlersCARPending
Under2.5Shots On Goal+120 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.7% edge
π THE EDGE
Ehlers has been getting fewer quality shooting opportunities lately despite his ice time remaining steady, creating value on this under.
β‘ The Play
The model shows his shot volume trending down from his seasonal average, making this under a solid fade spot against an inflated line.
Sat, May 2 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 2 3:28 PM ET
May 1
π
πBowen ByrambufPush
Under1.5Shots On Goal+120 DraftKings Β· 1u
+6.6% edgeBuffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
π THE EDGE
Byram's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the books haven't adjusted this line to reflect his more limited offensive deployment.
β‘ The Play
Taking the under on a defenseman who's been playing a more conservative role against a Bruins team that's been effective at limiting opposition blue line chances.
Fri, May 1 at 7:40 PM ET
Posted May 1 3:33 PM ET
π
πAlex TuchBUFPush
Under2.5Shots On Goal+135 DraftKings Β· 1u
+6.1% edgeBuffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
π THE EDGE
Tuch's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games against elite defensive teams like Boston, creating value on this under.
β‘ The Play
Taking Tuch under 2.5 shots as his limited ice time in tough matchups should keep him well below this inflated number.
Fri, May 1 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted May 1 7:27 AM ET
Apr 28
π
πPavel ZachaBOSWin
Under1.5Shots On Goal+140 DraftKings Β· 1u
+12.3% edge
π THE EDGE
Zacha's shot volume has been trending down lately while the model shows he's still being overvalued in this spot.
β‘ The Play
Model's been cooking lately and sees clear value fading Zacha's shot output tonight.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Tue, Apr 28 at 7:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 27 7:38 AM ET
Apr 26
π
πTage ThompsonBUFWin
Under3.5Shots On Goal+114 DraftKings Β· 1u
+7.1% edgeBuffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
π THE EDGE
Thompson's shot volume has been inconsistent against elite defensive teams like Boston, and the model's been cooking lately with 4 of 5 recent picks hitting.
β‘ The Play
The Bruins' structured defensive system should limit Thompson's high-danger opportunities, keeping him right around that crucial number.
Actual: 3Line: 3.5
Sun, Apr 26 at 2:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 26 7:21 AM ET
π
πNikita KucherovTBLWin
Under3.5Shots On Goal-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+13.2% edgeTB @ MTL
π THE EDGE
Kucherov's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games, and our model's been cooking lately with the under hitting consistently.
β‘ The Play
Tampa's star winger faces a motivated Montreal defense that's been limiting high-danger opportunities, making this number too generous.
Actual: 3Line: 3.5
Sun, Apr 26 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 25 3:24 PM ET
π
πQuinton ByfieldLALose
Under2.5Shots On Goal-115 Underdog Β· 1u
+5.5% edgeCOL @ LA
π THE EDGE
Byfield's shot volume has been surprisingly quiet at home, while the model's been cooking lately with sharp reads on these player props.
β‘ The Play
Colorado's structured defensive system should limit his opportunities, especially with his inconsistent shot generation in recent matchups.
Actual: 4Line: 2.5
Sun, Apr 26 at 4:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 25 10:20 AM ET
Apr 25
π
πJack EichelVGKWin
Under3.5Shots On Goal-145 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.3% edgeVegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth
π THE EDGE
Eichel's shot volume has been trending down in recent road games, and this line hasn't caught up to his shifting role in Vegas's system.
β‘ The Play
The market is still pricing Eichel like the high-volume shooter he was earlier in the season, but his recent usage suggests a more conservative approach tonight.
Actual: 3Line: 3.5
Fri, Apr 24 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 24 7:31 AM ET
π
πMark StoneVGKWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal-149 Caesars Β· 1u
+8.5% edgeVegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth
π THE EDGE
Stone's shot volume has been trending down lately while the books haven't caught up to his more passive recent approach.
β‘ The Play
Vegas playing back-to-back situations often see their veterans like Stone focus more on playmaking than shooting in road spots.
Actual: 1Line: 2.5
Fri, Apr 24 at 9:30 PM ET
Posted Apr 23 7:31 AM ET
Apr 24
π
πJuraj SlafkovskΓ½mtlWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+120 DraftKings Β· 1u
+14.7% edgeTampa Bay Lightning @ MontrΓ©al Canadiens
π THE EDGE
Books are pricing SlafkovskΓ½ like he's still getting top-line deployment, but his recent role has been more limited with reduced ice time in key offensive situations.
β‘ The Play
Tampa's disciplined defensive structure typically forces Montreal's secondary scorers into difficult shooting positions, making the under the sharp side.
Actual: 1Line: 2.5
Fri, Apr 24 at 7:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 24 10:37 AM ET
π
πAdrian KempeLAKWin
Under2.5Shots On Goal+130 FanDuel Β· 1u
+6.2% edgeColorado Avalanche @ Los Angeles Kings
π THE EDGE
Kempe's shot volume has been trending down in recent matchups against defensively disciplined Colorado teams.
β‘ The Play
Look for the Kings winger to see limited quality scoring chances against an Avalanche defense that's been clamping down on perimeter opportunities.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Thu, Apr 23 at 10:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 22 3:36 PM ET
Apr 22
π
πDylan GuentheruthLose
Under3.5Shots On Goal-179 Caesars Β· 1u
+6.9% edgeUtah Mammoth @ Vegas Golden Knights
π THE EDGE
Guenther's shot volume has been inconsistent lately while Vegas excels at limiting quality scoring chances from opposing wingers.
β‘ The Play
The model sees limited opportunities for the young forward to reach four shots against this disciplined Golden Knights defense.
Actual: 5Line: 3.5
Tue, Apr 21 at 9:40 PM ET
Posted Apr 21 10:38 AM ET
Apr 21
π
πJuraj SlafkovskymtlPush
+8.1% edgeMontreal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning
π THE EDGE
Tampa's elite defensive structure at home has been suffocating opposing wingers' shooting opportunities all season.
β‘ The Play
Slafkovsky's limited ice time in tough road spots continues to cap his shot volume against premium competition.
Tue, Apr 21 at 7:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 20 3:32 PM ET
π
πLeo CarlssonanaPush
Under2.5Shots On Goal+114 DraftKings Β· 1u
+8.5% edge
π THE EDGE
Books are overvaluing Carlsson's shot volume in what projects as a defensive-minded matchup where the young center sees limited offensive zone time.
β‘ The Play
The model shows clear value on the under with Carlsson's recent usage patterns trending toward a more structured, lower-event role.
Mon, Apr 20 at 10:10 PM ET
Posted Apr 20 7:36 AM ET
Apr 20
π
πMikhail SergachevUTAPush
Under1.5Shots On Goal+130 DraftKings Β· 1u
+5.4% edge
π THE EDGE
Sergachev's shot volume has been trending down in recent games while the model suggests he stays well under this inflated number.
β‘ The Play
The veteran defenseman's limited offensive deployment in this matchup creates excellent value on the under.
Sun, Apr 19 at 10:00 PM ET
Posted Apr 18 7:19 AM ET
About our NHL picks
Every NHL pick on this page is generated by our +EV model and posted publicly with full transparency. Each prediction includes the player, line, sportsbook, our edge versus the no-vig fair price, and the AI-written reasoning behind the pick.
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