Underdog Sports track record
PartnerEvery Underdog Sports play SickFade has posted, graded model by model, including the ones that lose. Updated hourly.
Graded plays
50,562
Models
4
Units, all models
+643.1u
Models in profit
4 of 4
each with 1,000+ plays
“All models” combines every model on Underdog Sports, including the ones that lose. Graded at 1 unit per play, the price when we first posted it, and each model's minimum edge (3% for most, 1% on exchanges).
How to read these numbers
The numbers
- Units
- Each play is graded as a 1-unit bet. +100u means up 100 bets' worth.
- ROI
- Profit per unit bet. +3% is 3 cents per dollar over time; the ± is the likely range.
What counts
- Edge threshold
- Only counts when our fair price beat the book by the model's minimum: 3% for most, 1% on exchanges.
- Pushes
- Ties. In the record, but not in hit rate or ROI.
- Pick'em pricing
- Priced at the app's typical break-even (about -119). Real returns depend on entry size.
How to judge it
- Sample size
- Judge a model on 1,000+ plays, not a weekend.
- Losing stretches
- Losing weeks, even months, are normal for a model with a real edge.
New to this? Here's how value betting works, explained with one example.
Best Underdog Sports model with 1,000+ plays
Underdog Plays: Sharp Edge+: 14,299 plays, +391.2u. Every model is in the table below.
Every Underdog Sports model
- Sharp Edge+3%+ edge14,299+391.2u14,299 plays
- Stat Model (Lower)3%+ edge6,180+162.7u6,180 plays
- Stat Model3%+ edge9,104+81.2u9,104 plays
- Sharp Edge3%+ edge20,979+8.0u20,979 plays
Get the Underdog Sports plays that beat the fair price
SickFade compares every prop against a fair price built from the books with the best track record, and flags the ones that beat it. Every play is graded here, wins and losses.
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Not sure what +EV means? Read the 7-minute explainer.
Underdog Sports sign-up offer
Trading involves risk, including total loss on positions. Content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade. Promotion issued by affiliate. Terms apply. Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, & VA) and present in a state where Underdog operates. Deposit match is 50% up to $1,000 in most states and 25% up to $250 in CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT, WA (as of 8/27/26); deposit + bonus must be played through 1x within 14 days or the unused bonus is forfeited. Keep Your Million must be completed within 60 days. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-MY-RESET or 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org. NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369).
Learn how it works
Short guides that explain the numbers on this page.
- Start here · 7 min readWhat Is Expected Value (EV) in Sports Betting?Value betting explained with one example: why the same bet has different prices, why the best price is not always +EV, how a fair price is built, and how arbitrage works.
- Guide 2 · 6 min readWhat Is a Unit in Sports Betting? Why Pros Never Talk in DollarsA unit is your standard bet size as a percentage of bankroll. Here is why tracking results in units, not dollars, is the honest way to measure betting performance.
- Guide 3 · 8 min readDo Sharps Bet Parlays?Parlays amplify your edge, but they also raise variance, which slows bankroll growth. We work the math on 2 straights vs 1 parlay and show exactly where each one wins.
- Guide 4Are overs or unders better?Player prop ROI by side and sport, from our graded picks.
Past results don't guarantee future results. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.