🏀Free NBA Picks
AI-powered NBA player prop picks with verified results. Updated daily during the season — no paywall, no hidden record.
Record
104-91-6
Units
+7.49u
ROI
+3.8%
Jun 14
🏀
🏀Mitchell RobinsonnykLose
Under8.5Pts+Rebs-132 DraftKings · 1u
+5.7% edgeNew York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
💎 THE EDGE
Robinson's limited minutes and reduced offensive involvement have the books sleeping on how little production he's actually generating in this streamlined Knicks rotation.
⚡ The Play
With our model trending hot after nailing 4 of the last 5, we're riding the momentum on Robinson staying well under this inflated total against a Spurs team that limits second-chance opportunities.
Actual: 12Line: 8.5
Sat, Jun 13 at 8:40 PM ET
Posted Jun 13 3:37 PM ET
Jun 9
🏀
🏀Devin VassellsasWin
+6.2% edgeSan Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks
💎 THE EDGE
The market is overvaluing Vassell's scoring potential in a pace-down spot against New York's improved perimeter defense.
⚡ The Play
Vassell's limited offensive role and tough matchup create solid value on the under in what projects as a grind-it-out game.
Actual: 11Line: 13.5
Mon, Jun 8 at 8:40 PM ET
Posted Jun 8 11:05 AM ET
🏀
🏀Keldon JohnsonSASLose
Under6.5Pts+Asts-116 DraftKings · 1u
+5.2% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Johnson's playmaking opportunities have been severely limited with the Spurs prioritizing their young core's development, creating a gap between his projected output and this inflated line.
⚡ The Play
His reduced role in the offense combined with inconsistent minutes makes this under a sharp play against an overvalued total.
Actual: 7Line: 6.5
Mon, Jun 8 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted Jun 8 8:32 AM ET
🏀
🏀Landry ShametnykWin
Under8.5Points-103 Prop Builder · 1u
+8.9% edgesan antonio spurs @ new york knicks
💎 THE EDGE
Shamet's minutes have been inconsistent lately with the Knicks rotating their bench wings, and this line feels inflated for a player averaging limited touches in his current role.
⚡ The Play
Taking the under on a role player who's been trending down in usage while facing a Spurs defense that's been solid against opposing bench scorers recently.
Actual: 3Line: 8.5
Mon, Jun 8 at 8:40 PM ET
Posted Jun 7 3:36 PM ET
🏀
🏀Victor WembanyamaSASWin
Under11.5Rebounds-102 DraftKings · 1u
+7.4% edgeSAS @ NYK
💎 THE EDGE
Wemby's rebounding numbers have been trending down against elite frontcourt competition, and the Knicks present exactly that type of challenging matchup.
⚡ The Play
The rookie's glass work gets neutralized when facing physical, experienced big men rotation - take the under with confidence.
Actual: 8Line: 11.5
Mon, Jun 8 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted Jun 7 7:35 AM ET
Jun 4
🏀
🏀Miles McBrideNYKLose
Under5.5Points+102 DraftKings · 1u
+5.8% edge
💎 THE EDGE
The books are pricing McBride like he's locked into consistent minutes, but his role remains highly situational and he's been trending toward more defensive-focused appearances lately.
⚡ The Play
With his limited offensive usage in recent games and the team's deeper rotation getting healthier, McBride stays under this inflated number tonight.
Actual: 6Line: 5.5
Wed, Jun 3 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted Jun 3 11:31 AM ET
🏀
🏀Karl-Anthony TownsNYKLose
Under17.5Points-114 DraftKings · 1u
+5.1% edgeNY@SA
💎 THE EDGE
The sportsbooks are pricing Towns like he's still the focal point, but his reduced shot attempts in New York's system create clear value on the under.
⚡ The Play
Towns' limited offensive role against San Antonio's improved interior defense sets up perfectly for a quiet scoring night.
Actual: 18Line: 17.5
Wed, Jun 3 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted Jun 3 8:34 AM ET
🏀
🏀Mikal BridgesNYKWin
Under14.5Points-105 DraftKings · 1u
+8.2% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Bridges is settling into a more complementary role with his new team and the scoring opportunities just aren't materializing at the volume needed to consistently hit these mid-teen totals.
⚡ The Play
His usage is trending down significantly and with limited touches in the offense, he's likely to fall short of this inflated number tonight.
Actual: 9Line: 14.5
Wed, Jun 3 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted Jun 2 8:21 AM ET
May 31
🏀
🏀Kenrich WilliamsOKCWin
+5.7% edgeSan Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
💎 THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Williams' severely diminished role with OKC's frontcourt getting healthier and rotations tightening up in meaningful games.
⚡ The Play
Our model is absolutely cooking lately and sees Williams trending toward minimal floor time against a Spurs team that doesn't create extra rebounding opportunities.
Actual: 1Line: 1.5
Sat, May 30 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 30 3:35 PM ET
🏀
🏀Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKCLose
Under3.5Rebounds+120 DraftKings · 1u
+6.2% edgeSan Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
💎 THE EDGE
The market hasn't adjusted to SGA's shifted focus on playmaking over crashing the glass, especially with OKC's improved frontcourt depth limiting his rebounding opportunities.
⚡ The Play
Riding the hot streak here - SGA's usage in the rebounding department stays limited as the Thunder prioritize him getting back in transition, and this San Antonio matchup sets up perfectly for that game script.
Actual: 4Line: 3.5
Sat, May 30 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 30 7:31 AM ET
May 29
🏀
🏀De'Aaron FoxsasLose
+13.7% edgeOklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
💎 THE EDGE
Fox has been trending toward a more perimeter-focused role lately, and this number feels inflated given his recent rebounding patterns.
⚡ The Play
The model is cooking right now with 4 of our last 5 hitting, and Fox's limited glass work in this pace-up spot screams value on the under.
Actual: 5Line: 3.5
Thu, May 28 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted May 28 11:03 AM ET
🏀
🏀Chet HolmgrenokcLose
Under7.5Rebounds+120 Bookmaker · 1u
+12.2% edgeOklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
💎 THE EDGE
The books are sleeping on Holmgren's reduced rebounding workload against teams that actually contest the glass, and San Antonio has been surprisingly active on the boards lately.
⚡ The Play
With our model running hot and Chet's minutes trending toward perimeter defense in this matchup, we're riding the under with serious confidence.
Actual: 11Line: 7.5
Thu, May 28 at 8:30 PM ET
Posted May 28 8:10 AM ET
🏀
🏀Julian ChampagnieSASWin
Under10.5Points-108 DraftKings · 1u
+6.0% edge
💎 THE EDGE
The books are sleeping on Champagnie's reduced role lately, with his minutes trending down and touches getting distributed elsewhere in the rotation.
⚡ The Play
Our model loves this spot with the forward's scoring opportunities looking limited tonight - we're riding the hot streak and hammering the under.
Actual: 10Line: 10.5
Thu, May 28 at 8:40 PM ET
Posted May 27 8:06 AM ET
May 27
🏀
🏀Devin VassellsasWin
Under14.5Points-115 Underdog · 1u
+8.5% edgeSAS @ OKC
💎 THE EDGE
Vassell's usage has been trending down recently while the Thunder's perimeter defense creates a tough environment for secondary scorers to find their rhythm.
⚡ The Play
With his limited role in the offense and OKC's ability to force role players into difficult shots, Vassell stays under this inflated number tonight.
Actual: 6Line: 14.5
Tue, May 26 at 8:35 PM ET
Posted May 25 11:00 AM ET
May 26
🏀
🏀Jalen BrunsonNYWin
Under2.53-PT Made-113 DraftKings · 1u
+5.4% edge
💎 THE EDGE
Books are sleeping on Brunson's recent shift toward driving and mid-range work, with his three-point volume quietly trending down over his last several outings.
⚡ The Play
With the model riding hot and Brunson's shot selection evolving away from deep balls, this under is sitting pretty at the perfect number.
Actual: 2Line: 2.5
Mon, May 25 at 8:00 PM ET
Posted May 24 3:34 PM ET
About our NBA picks
Every NBA pick on this page is generated by our +EV model and posted publicly with full transparency. Each prediction includes the player, line, sportsbook, our edge versus the no-vig fair price, and the AI-written reasoning behind the pick.
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