🏀Free NBA Picks

AI-powered NBA player prop picks with verified results. Updated daily during the season — no paywall, no hidden record.

Record

79-69-6

Units

+4.65u

ROI

+3.1%

Pending

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Today's Picks

🏀

🏀Desmond BaneORL

Pending

Under3.5Assists

-160 DraftKings · 1u

+5.5% edge

💎 THE EDGE Books are overvaluing Bane's assist upside when his primary role remains scoring-focused with limited true playmaking responsibilities in Memphis's system. ⚡ The Play Bane's assist opportunities stay constrained by his off-ball usage pattern, making the under a solid value against an inflated line.

Sun, May 3 at 3:30 PM ET

Posted May 2 7:18 AM ET

Apr 29

🏀

🏀CJ McCollumatl

Win

Under2.53-PT Made

+107 DraftKings · 1u

+5.2% edge

💎 THE EDGE McCollum's reduced usage in his current role has him trending well under this inflated number, and the model's been cooking lately with 4 of 5 recent picks cashing. ⚡ The Play With limited opportunities from deep and a favorable matchup for staying under, this line screams value on the under.

Actual: 0Line: 2.5

Tue, Apr 28 at 8:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 28 7:41 AM ET

Apr 28

🏀

🏀Tyrese MaxeyPHI

Lose

Under24.5Points

+101

NoVig· 1u

+5.8% edgePhiladelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics

💎 THE EDGE Boston's elite perimeter defense has consistently forced Maxey into tough shots, and the line hasn't adjusted for his struggles against top-tier wing defenders. ⚡ The Play Model's been cooking lately, and everything points to Maxey having another grind-it-out night in TD Garden where his efficiency typically takes a hit.

Actual: 25Line: 24.5

Tue, Apr 28 at 7:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 28 3:42 PM ET

🏀

🏀Joel Embiidphi

Lose

Under4.5Assists

-145 DraftKings · 1u

+8.8% edgePhiladelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics

💎 THE EDGE Embiid's playmaking has been trending down lately while Boston's elite perimeter defense forces him into scoring mode rather than facilitating. ⚡ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees clear value on the under with Embiid likely to hunt his own shot against this Celtics defense.

Actual: 8Line: 4.5

Tue, Apr 28 at 7:10 PM ET

Posted Apr 27 3:39 PM ET

🏀

🏀VJ Edgecombephi

Win

Under3.5Assists

+100 Bookmaker · 1u

+6.3% edge

💎 THE EDGE Edgecombe's usage remains extremely limited in this offense, and the model's been cooking lately with these assist unders. ⚡ The Play Despite heavy minutes, his secondary role keeps him away from primary playmaking duties — lean the under.

Actual: 3Line: 3.5

Tue, Apr 28 at 7:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 27 10:44 AM ET

Apr 26

🏀

🏀Derrick Whitebos

Win

Under13.5Points

+120

ProphetX· 1u

+6.7% edgeBoston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers

💎 THE EDGE White's limited offensive usage in this rotation gets exposed against a Sixers defense that's been forcing role players into tough spots. ⚡ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees White staying in his facilitator role tonight — taking the under on a line that's banking on his recent hot streak continuing.

Actual: 6Line: 13.5

Sun, Apr 26 at 7:05 PM ET

Posted Apr 26 10:19 AM ET

Apr 25

🏀

🏀Tobias HarrisDET

Win

Under2.5Assists

-134 DraftKings · 1u

+5.1% edge

💎 THE EDGE Harris has been operating in a reduced playmaking capacity lately, and the model projects him falling just short of this inflated assist total. ⚡ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees Harris staying under this number given his limited facilitating role in the offense.

Actual: 2Line: 2.5

Sat, Apr 25 at 1:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 25 7:22 AM ET

Apr 23

🏀

🏀Jordan GoodwinPHX

Push

Under16.5Pts+Rebs+Asts

-114 Prop Builder · 1u

+10.5% edgePhoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder

💎 THE EDGE Goodwin's minimal usage rate in a structured Thunder system keeps his production capped despite decent minute projections. ⚡ The Play Low-usage bench guard stays under in a pace-down spot where OKC controls tempo and limits secondary scoring opportunities.

Wed, Apr 22 at 9:40 PM ET

Posted Apr 22 7:31 AM ET

🏀

🏀Dillon Brooksphx

Lose

Under16.5Points

+103

NoVig· 1u

+5.2% edgePhoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder

💎 THE EDGE Books haven't adjusted to Brooks' dramatically reduced offensive role since joining the Thunder's deep rotation. ⚡ The Play With limited touches and OKC's balanced scoring attack, Brooks stays busy on defense while his shot attempts remain capped.

Actual: 30Line: 16.5

Wed, Apr 22 at 9:30 PM ET

Posted Apr 21 3:35 PM ET

Apr 22

🏀

🏀Victor WembanyamaSAS

Win

Under28.5Points

-107 DraftKings · 1u

+6.3% edgePortland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs

💎 THE EDGE Wembanyama's minutes are being carefully managed in what should be a comfortable home matchup against Portland's weak interior defense. ⚡ The Play The rookie phenom is trending toward more efficient games with limited usage, making this total vulnerable in a likely blowout scenario.

Actual: 5Line: 28.5

Tue, Apr 21 at 8:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 21 7:31 AM ET

Apr 21

🏀

🏀Jalen Brunsonnyk

Lose

Under28.5Points

-112 DraftKings · 1u

+6.7% edge

💎 THE EDGE The model's been cooking lately and sees Brunson falling short of this inflated number with his usage trending down recently. ⚡ The Play Taking the under on a line that's giving us nearly a full point of value against our projection.

Actual: 29Line: 28.5

Mon, Apr 20 at 8:10 PM ET

Posted Apr 19 3:23 PM ET

🏀

🏀Anthony Edwardsmin

Win

Under4.5Assists

+123

NoVig· 1u

+7.0% edgeMinnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets

💎 THE EDGE Edwards' assist numbers are trending down in his last handful of games while Denver's pace continues to limit extra possessions. ⚡ The Play Model's been cooking lately and sees Edwards staying focused on scoring in what should be a grind-it-out road matchup.

Actual: 2Line: 4.5

Mon, Apr 20 at 10:40 PM ET

Posted Apr 19 7:19 AM ET

Apr 20

🏀

🏀Donovan MitchellCLE

Lose

Under28.5Points

-118 DraftKings · 1u

+5.4% edge

💎 THE EDGE Mitchell's usage has been trending down in recent games while the model shows he's falling just short of this inflated number. ⚡ The Play The model's been cooking lately and sees clear value on the under with Mitchell's recent scoring patterns pointing to a sub-29 night.

Actual: 30Line: 28.5

Mon, Apr 20 at 7:00 PM ET

Posted Apr 19 10:18 AM ET

Apr 19

🏀

🏀Cade CunninghamDET

Lose

Under36.5Pts+Asts

-107 DraftKings · 1u

+13.2% edge

💎 THE EDGE Cunningham's projected minutes are tracking well below his season average, creating a clear value gap in this total. ⚡ The Play The usage patterns suggest Detroit will lean heavily on their bench rotation tonight, limiting Cade's opportunities to hit the inflated number.

Actual: 43Line: 36.5

Sun, Apr 19 at 6:30 PM ET

Posted Apr 18 3:22 PM ET

🏀

🏀Luke KennardLAL

Win

Under8.5Rebs+Asts

-123 DraftKings · 1u

+12.9% edge

💎 THE EDGE Kennard's extremely limited usage rate and secondary role in Memphis creates a ceiling that's well below this inflated total. ⚡ The Play With his restricted minutes and minimal playmaking responsibilities, this number assumes production that rarely materializes in his current role.

Actual: 7Line: 8.5

Sat, Apr 18 at 8:30 PM ET

Posted Apr 17 7:25 AM ET

About our NBA picks

Every NBA pick on this page is generated by our +EV model and posted publicly with full transparency. Each prediction includes the player, line, sportsbook, our edge versus the no-vig fair price, and the AI-written reasoning behind the pick.

Picks are graded automatically once final stats post. The lifetime NBA record above includes wins, losses, pushes, units, and ROI — no cherry-picking, no hidden track record. Browse other sports NFL, NHL, MLB, CBB, CFB.

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