Keep Your Million + $1,000 match

Bonus Funds ยท Pick'em

Underdog SportsPartner
50% MATCH UP TO
$1,000
Bonus Funds ยท Pick'em

The offer

In most states your first deposit is matched 50%, up to $1,000 in bonus funds (25% up to $250 in CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT, WA; minimum deposit applies). Deposit and bonus must be played through 1x within 14 days, or the unused bonus is forfeited; bonus funds are not withdrawable until then, so the bonus is worth what you will actually play. Separately, new users can play Keep Your Million: start with a virtual $1,000,000 pot, split it between Higher and Lower on each of 20 player questions, keep whatever sits on the winning side, and whatever is left after all 20 (within 60 days) is paid out to you. Bust to $0 and the game ends.

  • 50% first-deposit match up to $1,000 in bonus funds (most states)
  • Keep Your Million: a virtual $1,000,000 pot to defend across 20 higher/lower questions
  • Higher/lower on the same player projections SickFade projects
  • Code SFD auto-applied via our link

1x play-through of deposit + bonus within 14 days; unused bonus funds expire. Keep Your Million pays out only after all 20 questions, within 60 days of starting.

Trading involves risk, including total loss on positions. Content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade. Promotion issued by affiliate. Terms apply. Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, & VA) and present in a state where Underdog operates. Deposit match is 50% up to $1,000 in most states and 25% up to $250 in CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT, WA (as of 8/27/26); deposit + bonus must be played through 1x within 14 days or the unused bonus is forfeited. Keep Your Million must be completed within 60 days. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-MY-RESET or 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org. NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369).

AG

Alexa Grasso

Women's Flyweight
61.4
Sig. strikes
0.4
Takedowns
0.1
Knockdowns
Recorded averages over last 15 fights. Missing stats and DNP excluded. 2016-11-04 to 2026-03-28.

Tonight

PrizePicks
44.5
Significant Strikes
Over-119
Under-119

Prop Analysis

Average 61.4 significant strikes across 15 recorded results in the last 15 fights.

  • 11/4 ยท Heather Clark65
  • 2/3 ยท Felice Herrig80
  • 8/4 ยท Randa Markos64
  • 5/18 ยท Tatiana Suarez6
  • 6/7 ยท Karolina Kowalkiewicz148
  • 9/20 ยท Carla Esparza45
  • 8/28 ยท Ji Yeon Kim88
  • 2/12 ยท Maycee Barber38
  • 3/25 ยท Joanne Wood16
  • 10/14 ยท Viviane Araujo153
  • 3/3 ยท Valentina Shevchenko59
  • 9/15 ยท Valentina Shevchenko84
  • 9/13 ยท Valentina Shevchenko18
  • 5/9 ยท Natalia Silva45
  • 3/28 ยท Maycee Barber12

0 = recorded zero. DNP = did not play. Pending = participation unconfirmed. โ€” = stat unavailable. No action = participation rules not met for this market. Averages exclude DNP, pending and unavailable stats. Void is a sportsbook settlement, not inferred here. 0 push(es) at the reference line; pushes are neither over nor under.

Today's line
44.5
Over %
10/15 (67%)
Under %
5/15 (33%)
Average
61.4

Bar chart of Alexa Grasso's significant strikes results vs. the reference line of 44.5.

Significant Strikes distribution ยท last 15 games ยท 15 recorded results

44.5
2
2
3
1
2
2
1
1
1
6305478102126150
41.5 67%43.5 67%44.5 67%46.5 53%48.5 53%

Last 15 fights

Tap a row for the full stats.

DateOppSig. strikesCloseO/U
3/28/26Maycee Barber12โ€”No line
5/9/25Natalia Silva45โ€”No line
9/13/24Valentina Shevchenko18โ€”No line
9/15/23Valentina Shevchenko84โ€”No line
3/3/23Valentina Shevchenko59โ€”No line
10/14/22Viviane Araujo153โ€”No line
3/25/22Joanne Wood16โ€”No line
2/12/21Maycee Barber38โ€”No line
8/28/20Ji Yeon Kim88โ€”No line
9/20/19Carla Esparza45โ€”No line
6/7/19Karolina Kowalkiewicz148โ€”No line
5/18/18Tatiana Suarez6โ€”No line
8/4/17Randa Markos64โ€”No line
2/3/17Felice Herrig80โ€”No line
11/4/16Heather Clark65โ€”No line
Open / Close lines for significant strikes. O/U based on closing line.

Get our daily picks in the app

Fight history and posted player props.

Or see today's picks on the web โ†’