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The offer

In most states your first deposit is matched 50%, up to $1,000 in bonus funds (25% up to $250 in CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT, WA; minimum deposit applies). Deposit and bonus must be played through 1x within 14 days, or the unused bonus is forfeited; bonus funds are not withdrawable until then, so the bonus is worth what you will actually play. Separately, new users can play Keep Your Million: start with a virtual $1,000,000 pot, split it between Higher and Lower on each of 20 player questions, keep whatever sits on the winning side, and whatever is left after all 20 (within 60 days) is paid out to you. Bust to $0 and the game ends.

  • 50% first-deposit match up to $1,000 in bonus funds (most states)
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1x play-through of deposit + bonus within 14 days; unused bonus funds expire. Keep Your Million pays out only after all 20 questions, within 60 days of starting.

Trading involves risk, including total loss on positions. Content is promotional and not a recommendation to trade. Promotion issued by affiliate. Terms apply. Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, & VA) and present in a state where Underdog operates. Deposit match is 50% up to $1,000 in most states and 25% up to $250 in CT, HI, ID, IA, LA, ME, MT, WA (as of 8/27/26); deposit + bonus must be played through 1x within 14 days or the unused bonus is forfeited. Keep Your Million must be completed within 60 days. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-MY-RESET or 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org. NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369).

PP

Paddy Pimblett

Lightweight
53.8
Sig. strikes
0.4
Takedowns
0.2
Knockdowns
Recorded averages over last 9 fights. Missing stats and DNP excluded. 2021-09-03 to 2026-07-11.
Significant StrikesTakedownsKnockdownsSubmission Attempts

Prop Analysis

Average 53.8 significant strikes across 9 recorded results in the last 9 fights.

  • 9/3 · Luigi Vendramini47
  • 3/18 · Kazula Vargas3
  • 7/22 · Jordan Leavitt17
  • 12/9 · Jared Gordon63
  • 12/15 · Tony Ferguson106
  • 7/26 · King Green8
  • 4/11 · Michael Chandler80
  • 1/24 · Justin Gaethje156
  • 7/11 · Benoit Saint Denis4

0 = recorded zero. DNP = did not play. Pending = participation unconfirmed. — = stat unavailable. No action = participation rules not met for this market. Averages exclude DNP, pending and unavailable stats. Void is a sportsbook settlement, not inferred here. 0 push(es) at the reference line; pushes are neither over nor under.

Historical reference
42.5
Over %
5/9 (56%)
Under %
4/9 (44%)
Average
53.8

Bar chart of Paddy Pimblett's significant strikes results vs. the reference line of 42.5.

Significant Strikes distribution · last 9 games · 9 recorded results

42.5
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
327517599123147
39.5 56%41.5 56%42.5 56%44.5 56%46.5 56%

Last 9 fights

Tap a row for the full stats.

DateOppSig. strikesCloseO/U
7/11/26Benoit Saint Denis442.5Under
1/24/26Justin Gaethje156—No line
4/11/25Michael Chandler80—No line
7/26/24King Green8—No line
12/15/23Tony Ferguson106—No line
12/9/22Jared Gordon63—No line
7/22/22Jordan Leavitt17—No line
3/18/22Kazula Vargas3—No line
9/3/21Luigi Vendramini47—No line
Open / Close lines for significant strikes. Source: PrizePicks. O/U based on closing line.

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